LaunchDetect
Launch Watch · the public journal

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Spaceflight

The closest Moon of 2024 was almost new

An audit of 8,784 hourly Moon samples separates distance, apparent size and phase, with proportional outlines and a downloadable data table.

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Spaceflight

Apollo’s surface stays grew 3.47-fold. EVA time grew 8.73-fold.

Compare all six Apollo lunar landings using actual landing and ascent clocks and cabin-depressurization EVA intervals, with a downloadable six-mission table.

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Spaceflight

2,815 exoplanet masses came from a mass–radius relationship

Audit a 5,844-planet archive extract: provenance labels, calculated values and blank fields reveal why a filled mass column needs more than a number.

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Spaceflight

Webb’s 2024 path stayed 307,000 to 799,000 km off the Sun–Earth line

Project reconstructed Webb and Sun vectors onto a shared axis to measure sideways distance, with 367 daily samples and clear limits on what the geometry shows.

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Spaceflight

Mars’s 2023 command-pause plan was about solar interference, not a light-time spike

Compare NASA’s November 2023 Mars command plan with 721 hourly ephemeris samples: sky separation narrowed while one-way light time changed by only 20.72 seconds.

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Spaceflight

Saturn’s two 2025 crossings: Earth on March 23, the Sun on May 6

Separate viewing geometry from illumination using 4,345 hourly Saturn samples, with two zero-crossing brackets and a downloadable model-data table.

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Spaceflight

Twelve minutes near Arrokoth changed LORRI’s native image scale by about 2.5 times

Use two documented New Horizons ranges and LORRI’s nominal angular sampling to calculate about 83 and 33 meters per native pixel, without confusing pixels with resolved detail.

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Spaceflight

K2’s final campaign had three different data windows

Match Campaign 19 calibrated pixels, SAP and PDC processing windows to a real 740-row target file, including 385 zero-filled corrected-flux rows outside the PDC interval.

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Spaceflight

The widest eclipse path and longest totality belong to different eclipses

A 67-eclipse catalogue audit separates path width from central duration: the 2033 widest-path prediction is 781 km but 2m37s, while 2009 reaches 6m39s.

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Current evidence

2023 vs. 2024 ozone-hole duration: 113 days versus 76

Compare 153 daily ozone-hole areas in each year. Reproduce two threshold counts, peak dates and the limits of a size-versus-duration comparison.

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Current evidence

Greenland’s 2019 mass rebound: what 76 gigatons restored

Reproduce a 622-gigaton decline and 76-gigaton rebound in Greenland’s monthly gravity-derived mass record, with source bounds and careful date labels.

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Current evidence

Bondville’s 2024 eclipse: sunlight fell, infrared persisted

Inspect 240 one-minute SURFRAD rows from the April 2024 eclipse. Reconstruct shortwave irradiance and compare it with downward thermal infrared.

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Current evidence

Hilo and Honolulu solar data: similar years, different peaks

Compare 2024 NASA POWER monthly grid-cell estimates, all-sky versus clear-sky ratios and day-weighted energy totals for two Hawaii coordinates.

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Current evidence

Four NOAA CO₂ stations: why August 2020 changed the order

Compare 48 monthly surface-flask CO₂ values from Utqiaġvik, Mauna Loa, American Samoa and South Pole, with a downloadable same-product dataset.

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Current evidence

One Bondville pixel, two different vegetation seasons

Compare 2012 and 2013 MODIS NDVI at one fixed pixel, with quality gaps, selected-observation dates and a reproducible 36-composite download.

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Current evidence

Phoenix at night: what a MODIS surface pixel measured

Inspect 20 day/night surface-temperature composites from 2023, with local-solar sampling times, decoded quality flags and limits on air-temperature claims.

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Current evidence

Sioux Falls snow-week sunlight: 23% versus 75% reflected

Reconstruct two three-hour radiation windows around January 2024 snowfall, and calculate reflected-energy fractions from 360 quality-checked minutes.

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Current evidence

Idalia week: track the same 284 Gulf temperature cells

Reproduce a fixed-grid daily OISST comparison across August–September 2023, with area weights, cell-level differences and limits on storm attribution.

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Current evidence

Why the biggest temperature anomaly gets a smaller weight

Reconstruct the 2023 GISTEMP global anomaly from eight latitude bands. Compare area-weighted terms with an unweighted mean and inspect the exact fractions.

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Current evidence

Crew-12’s undocking target shifted seven hours. Here are both clocks.

Compare NASA’s October 3 and October 5 Crew-12 undocking targets in EDT, UTC and Hawaii time, with handover and splashdown kept distinct.

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Current evidence

NASA’s Madagascar photo: the viewing angle behind the bright rocks

An original calculation from NASA’s astronaut-photo metadata places the scene about 56 degrees off nadir, with clear limits on measuring the image.

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Current evidence

GLODAP’s 1,181 cruise rows: the uncertainty that averaging keeps

Audit GLODAPv3’s cruise uncertainty file and see why a shared 2.1 µmol/kg component cannot be divided by the square root of a bottle count.

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Current evidence

Curiosity’s Basque Lakes images: two products, two kinds of clock

Two MAHLI records share Sol 5023 but record a focus merge and an exposure. An original metadata audit explains their times, focus counts and limits.

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Dashboard evidence

Three hours, 37 or 19 frames: auditing LaunchDetect’s thermal replays

Audit 93 published LaunchDetect frames across three launches. Compare actual replay spacing, inclusive counts and the nine frames without plotted score points.

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